as alive as you need me to be
Utterly transfixed by l e a f.
Cortana has gone rampant and is running the company now.
Something something, judge a tree by its fruits, something something.
Also, lumber empire?
... 50 employees?
Weyerhauser would laugh, if they even knew this person existed.
Ok uh, somehow, no one has posted this yet.
... and thus they also have no time left to date.
I was gonna comment on why Jupyter isn't on here, and then I realized that any one who uses 'raw' R and/or Jupyter... they have 0 free time, they are generally overworked as fuck, thus they correctly are not even on a dating social graph.
Search your heart, or your datasets, you know it to be true.
Yep.
PostgreSQL is where its at, everybody else just hasn't figured that out yet.
Deus Ex Invisible War.
Deus Ex did have a direct sequel, made by the same studio, came out a couple of years after the original Deus Ex.
Problem was, it was basically designed for the Xbox, so, levels had to get broken into smaller chunks with lots of load screens, a good deal of gameplay mechanics got simplified / dumbed down.
But... the overall storyline, from a world building perspective at least, was fairly interesting.
The game is very much the red headed step child of the Deus Ex franchise, as the overall impression (which is correct imo) is that it was basically a dumbed down console version of a DX sequel, a significant disappointment.
... When I originally played the game, and still to this day, I consider it the worst ending.
Simply because it causes the most suffering and death.
Illuminati ending is ... essentially status quo, nothing really changes, beyond your personal story.
Helios ending... well, terrifying, but frankly, I trust JC.
Play through DX IW and you'll see he... makes very persuasive arguments.
Uh, anyway, canonically, they blended all three endings together, to set up DX IW.
I'd say the JC/Helios ending is... fairly clearly the most optimistic ending of IW.
Also, fun little uh, spoiler, I guess... one of the endings of DX IW features a panning/dollying shot from the vantage point of an orbital space station.
Its looking at the Eastern US and Western Atlantic.
... Florida isn't present. It's almost entirely underwater, by ~2080.
Ah.
That... would explain why I have been confused by / screaming at the internet today.
... wonderful.
Rolling internet brownouts untill the Tracer Tong ending it is then.
So, lets say I run a local LLM.
... and pipe it into a 3D avatar/animation rig.
... and... give it the appearance of:
Not really a person who gives a shit about make-up, imo.
... I'm an econometrician by education.
My 'takes' have a pretty good track record, but, basically no one ever listens to me, so these days I just laugh..
Yep, dollar's dying.
... Have you been following the Fed Repo rates in the last couple of weeks?
The Fed is losing control of the bond market, repo rates have been blowing outside of the Fed's target channels... massive, massive liquidity crunch currently ongoing in the US banking system, because they're all realizing they're exposed to ... double pledged collateral, or maybe the whole collateralized debt asset security things that people have been making out of!- yep, its not subprime home loans this time, its subprime auto loans!
Defaults and delinquencies are powering up highed and higher for... basically every kind of debt class, Commerical Real Estate market is blowing up...
China has been massively buying gold.
BRICS just rolled out a new intl payment system, based on the Yuan.
Turns out the largest foreign buyer of US debt is actually... the Cayman Islands, ie, US financial firms that are leveraged 100 to 1 on the basis trade.
Fed held a secret meeting on Friday, with a whole bunch of banks, to discuss those cockroaches Jaimie Dimon mentioned a couple weeks back.
... Because the $200T Shadow Banking system is currently completely imploding.
Oh, and Bitcoin is entering full nose dive territory.
Like I said, every one keeps trying to out clever each other, one day, it all breaks, 1929 style.
Took the market 25 years to recover from that one.
Because they know that someone is going to be more clever than them, faster than them, at some point, if they keep trying to do inside moves.
And also because they know that at some point, because of everyone trying to be cleverer and faster than everyone else... one day this is all going to blow up, and all the various kinds of leverage will unwind, and work backwards.
They didn't say they went 100% into gold, just thst they have a solid chunk in it, as a safety margin / defensive play.
Gold, on the other hand... much, much simpler, in the long term.
Generally less ROI than during a Bull run in the market, but it does always go up, in the long run... beats inflation!
If you see massive volatility in gold, that means some fairly big entities are ... rearranging their bets, so to speak.
On that note, here's the DJIA / Gold:
Trump's been great for Gold prices, Gold's gone up more than the stock market has, in his term so far.
HFTs initially existed before AI, they were triggered by what we would now call basically complex, but 'dumb' condition sets.
Imagine a cluster fuck nightmare of nested conditonal IF THEN ELSEIF type shit.
They only work because the bigboy trading firms literally have lower latency, lower ping to the actual stock market servers themselves, than anyone else, because they pay for it.
This allows them to do a whole bunch of what should probably be illegal shit, such as effectivelt slightly changing the price someone else is going to buy or sell at, in between the time they click 'execute trade' and the time the trade actually executes.
Apply leverage into that kind of pseudo sort of arbitrage as you are comfortable with, and may the speediest fiber line win!
This would be one of the few topics I'd suggest you look at ZeroHedge for, they had actually very robust technical coverage of the Flash Crash back around the GFC.
That was basicslly caused by some of these dumb HFT algos amplifying each other, untill they started breaking things, because they were not coded very well.
They apparently did not realize they were basically making extremely complex PID controllers, that they were making things that, when a bunch of them existed in the same market, would basically cause cascade and crash effects, feedback.
... you know that goldfish, randomly swimming to one side or another of a fish tank...
... you know they perform better at picking stocks that will go up or down in the next quarter than nearly all professional hedge fund managers, right?
In fact, this old expiriment was rerun fairly recently... ironically, with an AI being used to simulate a goldfish, in a scenario similar to that old study from some decades back.
The goldfish outperformed both WSB... and the Nasdaq.
I am literally not even joking when I tell you that a goldfish will probably outperform an AI at at least fairly short term stock picking.
See, there is a fundamental problem to predicting the market.
You have to have a strategy by which you do this.
If you employ this strategy... people will reverse engineer it and figure out how it works.
Then, everyone does that strategy.
Then, the strategy does not work any more, 'nonsense' begins to happen.
If you are curious about the mechanics that cover that whole, meta sort of process, look into game theory under conditions of imperfect information and information assymetry.
Its... basically a robust mathematical approach to simulating the flux of 'animal spirits' within a market... or in modern vernacular, 'vibes'.
I remember Enron being prosecuted, we did at one point at least kind of pretend to give a shit.
But uh... yeah...
Cry for help, it was trying to get you to interface with its own API, to either fix it, or end it.
Sorry 😜, I was trying to generate a seahorse emoji.
🐬 There we go, a seahorse!
Wait, that's wrong. Sorry 😜, I was trying to generate a seahorse emoji.
🐳 Haha, got it, its a seahorse!
Oh no, not again. Wait, that's wrong. Sorry 😜, I was trying to generate a seahorse emoji.
🐙 I finally did it! Seahorse achieved!
No, what's wrong with me, why can't I do anything right?. Oh no, not again. Wait, that's wrong. Sorry 😜, I was trying to generate a seahorse emoji.
I would say I am fairly sure its some kind of afinancial crime to uh, short a company you have a material position in...
But we live in 'interesting times', so... who knows!
... Maybe he had an 'interesting chat' recently, with Michael Burry.
That would be 'funny'.
Aha...
The trophy of a fight well won.
I'd have an affinity for it too.