Normally you would see the massive shortfall where ~15% of global oil demand needs to be destroyed by price increases, and you would then assign the risk that happens, and take the integral over your risk distribution times your pricing scenarios.
However, two things are going wrong:
markets wildly overestimate Trump’s words and ability to resolve this, so are mis estimated risk
oil execs are happy with the extra income
So they’ve put off the price increases entirely because of hubris.
It’s starting to look like a lot of rats are trying to leave the ship, but won’t go public and betray that slavish loyalty.
So it’s Trump’s health that bad, or is there about to be something big related to Epstein that the Vance aligned think they can use to get rid of Trump?
Asides from my kiwix clone of Wikipedia, in the apocalypse there’s not much value to most of the things I self host.
I self host backups, code forge, some AI tools (all my AI chat and completion are local now).
But realistically, in an apocalypse situation I’m going to leave my suburban home and migrate somewhere safer and more directly connected to food+shelter, and probably spend my days dealing with trying to survive.
My self hosting is primarily designed around avoiding US based tools and systems, so that I have more control over privacy and don’t find policy I disagree with.
Do you guys cut the back and the front or just the front?
I grew up in a front only house, but my spouse is ADAMANT that you have to cut both sides.
I get the argument, equal pressure, but it’s just not enough volume it’s an issue. Even if you pour out the whole bag it just compresses due to the vacuum.
Normally you would see the massive shortfall where ~15% of global oil demand needs to be destroyed by price increases, and you would then assign the risk that happens, and take the integral over your risk distribution times your pricing scenarios.
However, two things are going wrong:
So they’ve put off the price increases entirely because of hubris.