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Posts
14
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548
Joined
1 yr. ago

Freedom is the right to tell people what they do not want to hear.

  • George Orwell

  • Owning a pickup truck is pretty awesome, and I don’t think I’ll ever buy a different type of vehicle again.

    Mentioning it online gets hate, but in real life people keep coming up to me, complimenting how nice it looks, asking questions about it, and kids give me thumbs up when I drive by. All of that is just a bonus on top of the fact that I love driving it and the way it looks - and that’s all that really matters.

  • Perhaps midwit meme format would work here as well with Ubuntu on both ends and everything else in between

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  • I’ve come to the conclusion that if you’re buying tools, you should go for the sets. Take a socket set, for example. Realistically, you’re probably using the ratchet, an extension, and three to four sockets the most. At some point the cheap ratchet breaks and you replace it with a high-quality one. You may also lose or break a few of the most commonly used sockets and replace them with high-quality ones. In ten years you’ll have a set with a high-quality wrench and a few high-quality sockets that you commonly use, plus the rest of the other sizes you’ll only touch once every few years.

    Had you gone for the high-quality set right away, you would have paid even more - and now you’d have a 4mm made-in-Japan socket you spent 10 euros on that you’ll never use.

  • No idea, but my 15 year old Sony seems to be hanging on just fine.

  • Well, first of all, like I already said, I don’t think there’s substrate dependence on either general intelligence or consciousness, so I’m not going to try to prove there is - it’s not a belief I hold. I’m simply acknowledging the possibility that there might be something more mysterious about the workings of the human mind that we don’t yet understand, so I’m not going to rule it out when I have no way of disproving it.

    Secondly, both claims - that consciousness has very little influence on the mind, and that general intelligence isn’t complicated to understand - are incredibly bold statements I strongly disagree with. Especially with consciousness, though in my experience there’s a good chance we’re using that term to mean different things.

    To me, consciousness is the fact of subjective experience - that it feels like something to be. That there’s qualia to experience.

    I don’t know what’s left of the human mind once you strip away the ability to experience, but I’d argue we’d be unrecognizable without it. It’s what makes us human. It’s where our motivation for everything comes from - the need for social relationships, the need to eat, stay warm, stay healthy, the need to innovate. At its core, it all stems from the desire to feel - or not feel - something.

  • I don’t think it does, but it seems conceivable that it potentially could. Maybe there’s more to intelligence than just information processing - or maybe it’s tied to consciousness itself. I can’t imagine the added ability to have subjective experiences would hurt anyone’s intelligence, at least.

  • He might be passive but the implication is that you're supposed to live certain way or you'll end up in hell. This most likely isn't the case in a simulation.

  • No. I'm already living frugally. Cutting my spending by further 45% would make my life unsustainable.

  • People floating would go against the laws of physics of this simulation.

  • God is a loaded term though. Yes there would be a creator but it could be a completely passive observer.

  • That's the point - it wouldn't. People seem to expect that things would be different or meaningless if we did but I've never understood that logic. Even if we do live in the base reality it could just as well be a simulation and nothing would need to change.

  • Same argument applies for consciousness as well, but I'm talking about general intelligence now.

  • Same argument applies for consciousness as well, but I'm talking about general intelligence now.

  • The chart is just for illustration to highlight my point. As I already said - pick a different chart if you prefer, it doesn’t change the argument I’m making.

    It took us hundreds of thousands of years to go from stone tools to controlling fire. Ten thousand years to go from rope to fish hook. And then just 60 years to go from flight to space flight.

    I’ll happily grant you rapid technological progress even over the past thousand years. My point still stands - that’s yesterday on the timeline I’m talking about.

    If you lived 50,000 years ago, you’d see no technological advancement over your entire lifetime. Now, you can’t even predict what technology will look like ten years from now. Never before in human history have we taken such leaps as we have in the past thousand years. Put that on a graph and you’d see a steady line barely sloping upward from the first humans until about a thousand years ago - then a massive spike shooting almost vertically, with no signs of slowing down. And we’re standing right on top of that spike.

    Throughout all of human history, the period we’re living in right now is highly unusual - which is why I claim that on this timeline, AGI might as well be here tomorrow.

  • Not really the same thing. The Tic Tac Toe brute force is just a lookup - every possible state is pre-solved and the program just spits back the stored move. There’s no reasoning or decision-making happening. Atari Chess, on the other hand, couldn’t possibly store all chess positions, so it actually ran a search and evaluated positions on the fly. That’s why it counts as AI: it was computing moves, not just retrieving them.

  • Trying to claim there was vastly less innovation in the entire 19th century than there was in the past decade is just nonsense.

    And where have I made such claim?

  • The chart is just for illustration purposes to make a point. I don't see why you need to be such a dick about it. Feel free to reference any other chart that you like better which displays the progress of technological advancements thorough human history - they all look the same; for most of history nothing happened and then everything happened. If you don't think that this progress has been increasing at explosive speed over the past few hundreds of years then I don't know what to tell you. People 10k years ago had basically the same technology as people 30k years ago. Now compare that with what has happened even jist during your lifetime.

  • We're probably going to find out sooner rather than later.

  • I can think of only two ways that we don't reach AGI eventually.

    1. General intelligence is substrate dependent, meaning that it's inherently tied to biological wetware and cannot be replicated in silicon.
    2. We destroy ourselves before we get there.

    Other than that, we'll keep incrementally improving our technology and we'll get there eventually. Might take us 5 years or 200 but it's coming.