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usernamesAreTricky

@ usernamesAreTricky @lemmy.ml

Posts
378
Comments
593
Joined
3 yr. ago

  • Donald Trump’s Fascist Romp | After the former president described American citizens as “the enemy within,” Glenn Youngkin reveals his own complicity.

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  • Can’t wait until he’s gone next year.

    To clarify for others, Glenn Youngkin is the governor of Virginia. The state's law says that governors cannot hold consecutive terms and Youngkin's term ends in 2025, so regardless of who wins next year it won't be Youngkin

  • Harris responds to Trump's town hall-turned "music fest": "Hope he's okay"

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  • She's certainly increased her messaging about it. For instance, she recently release her medical records and loudly asked why trump wasn't doing the same this year when he has in the past

  • Trump Scraps Town Hall Q+A, Plays Music for Crowd Instead | The former president said, "Let's just listen to music," and abruptly stopped answering questions [for 30 minutes]

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  • Trump Scraps Town Hall Q+A, Plays Music for Crowd Instead | The former president said, "Let's just listen to music," and abruptly stopped answering questions [for 30 minutes]

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  • It's also turnout game that matter at single digit percentages. If it dissuades 1% of trump supporters from turning out that matters. Or if it increases dem turnout by 1% that also matters

  • Trump Scraps Town Hall Q+A, Plays Music for Crowd Instead | The former president said, "Let's just listen to music," and abruptly stopped answering questions [for 30 minutes]

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  • Hey Dems, stop doomscrolling and go win the election

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  • Nice, keep up the canavassing!

    One thing I was told is that ringing the doorbell a second time after waiting a bit can increase the response rate. I haven't tried it myself but was told by a couple of people that it helped a good amount

    It can also just varies a lot day to day and location to location on the response rate. Some days more people answer the door, others day it seems emptier

  • The vast divide between Republicans and Democrats over fast food

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  • You'd be suprised at what you can find out there that are better than you'd think

    Like for example, I've had many oat milk skeptics turn into oat milk enthusiasts

    Or if you like cooking, there's so many great things out there. Ethiopian cuisine for instance has a bunch of traditionally vegan dishes

    Just a handful of examples but there's so much more out there

  • Hey Dems, stop doomscrolling and go win the election

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  • Early in person voting is also an option. Also it varies state to state when mail ballots are counted. Michigan for instance, is actually going to start counting some of them a bit before the election day as they arrive. (Michigan now has a democratic trifecta in local government)

  • Hey Dems, stop doomscrolling and go win the election

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  • Note though that a number of states have already started both mail and in person early voting. You are likely able to vote sooner than you may think

    https://www.vote.org/early-voting-calendar/

    I'd also encourage voting early. It can save you from any issues popping up like getting sick on election day. Campaigns will stop bugging you as much once they see that you have voted (though they obviously cannot see who you voted for)

  • Hey Dems, stop doomscrolling and go win the election

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  • DNC rolls out six-figure ad buy in LGBTQ publications in battleground states

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  • DNC rolls out six-figure ad buy in LGBTQ publications in battleground states

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  • The electoral college is indeed quite frustrating, though note that downballot races in many non-battle ground states do matter. For instance, California and New York have some competitive house races despite not being super competitive for president

  • Majority of Americans want second debate between Trump and Harris: Poll

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  • Harris wants to raise the minimum wage

    The federal minimum wage has not increased from $7.25 per hour since 2009.

    On the campaign trail, Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris has said that needs to change.

    https://www.cnbc.com/2024/08/16/federal-minimum-wage-has-been-7point25-for-15-years-how-that-may-change.html

    Harris supports the PRO act to help union's ability to organize in "right to work" states. It would stop companies from being able to hold mandatory anti-union meetings. It would allow the national labor relation board to directly issue fines for labor law violations and issue compensation to employees. And more

    https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/article/2024/jul/25/kamala-harris-speech-teachers-union

    Harris supports killing the filibuster to get abortion protections codified

    https://www.wpr.org/news/kamala-harris-presidential-campaign-vice-president-housing-affordability-pfas-pollution-wpr-interview

    Harris is for sure not perfect, but claiming the two are exactly the same is just not true

  • Trump ground game undercut by slow internet that crashes app

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  • GOP Internal polling memo has warning signs for Senate Republicans

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  • I've seen others online suggest that this was an intentional leak for fundraising, but I'm dubious of that for a couple of reasons

    1. The leads for dems in some of these races (though certainly not all) are larger than what you'd hope to leak to show it's still competitive to drive donations. For instance, they show Hogan in Maryland down by 7 points and trending in the opposite direction. If they were intentionally leaking, they probably wouldn't have mention these races or leaked an outlier poll showing it closer

    2. Why would they leak mediocre trump president numbers in this too? Trump wants to claim that he's winning and that everything is rigged against him, but leaking something showing the opposite would undercut him and draw his ire

  • Harris goads ‘weak and unstable’ Trump over ‘hiding’ from a debate

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  • 'Dead heat': Trump pulls even with Harris in NBC News poll

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  • Not to mention, NBC ran the numbers with different turnout cases. In one of those cases, a very realistic but small few percentage point changes in turnout assumptions of different demographics could make the poll swing to 49% Harris to 46% Trump

    How different turnout models change the NBC News poll results

    Further, two other national polls released today showed the race as Harris+3. A lot of the dooming tends to be based on single polls. Yes the polls suggest race is close, but only paying attention to anything bad/mediocre isn't helpful either

    Don't doom, take action instead

    Make sure to register to vote. Deadlines are fast approaching in many states

    Find opportunities to volunteer for dems around you and online

    Write letters to voters in swing states or in competitive downballot races

  • Harris vs. Trump analyst tells panicky Dems: GOP is creating fake polls | ‘Desperate, unhinged, Trumpian’

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  • Note that you are repeating the same polls multiple times in that listing. 538 lists the same poll multiple times based on the different results from it (likely voters vs register voters) and head to head vs full field often giving 2 to 4 results per poll. These are not separate polls. The NYT only did one poll of PA recently, don't assume those are 4 at the same time

    As an aside, some of the pollsters have gotten more partisan this cycle. That recent TIPP poll there was the most egregious where a previously reputable pollster just decided to just assume that philadelphia was going to have 1/10 of the normal turnout in their likely voter screening (look at the unusually massive difference in their likely voters vs registered voters). This is despite asking how likely they were to vote and people in philadelphia respondeded with normal numbers, not anything anywhere close to 1/10th. It wasn't a mistake either, they replied saying they were the ones who did the likely voting screen and there were no errors, but didn't really offer much of an explication of why they basically assumed philadelphia wouldn't vote

  • Harris vs. Trump analyst tells panicky Dems: GOP is creating fake polls | ‘Desperate, unhinged, Trumpian’

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