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sobchak

@ sobchak @programming.dev

Posts
3
Comments
302
Joined
1 yr. ago

  • How often do you update software on your servers?

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  • Ain't broke and I can't be bothered to update. Not accessible publicly either. It also runs some software with very specific and brittle dependencies and I don't care to risk breaking it. If distro is EOL (probably is) then it'd be a pretty time consuming getting everything set up again.

  • Microsoft seemingly just revealed that OpenAI lost $11.5B last quarter

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  • That would be nice. I don't know how to do that other than programming it yourself with something like langgraph.

  • Microsoft seemingly just revealed that OpenAI lost $11.5B last quarter

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  • Yeah, IDK. I'm still in gold and dunno what to switch to. Gold will likely fall with stocks if we go into a recession, which I think we will (on the other hand if they print tons of money, which is likely, that's positive for gold). I don't see anything I'm comfortable with switching to yet.

  • Microsoft seemingly just revealed that OpenAI lost $11.5B last quarter

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  • I have enough money (for now). Divested from all tech during inauguration funding news, invested in European defence companies, and then just gold because all the crazy uncertainty about everything. Still made pretty good gains, but not as much as if I stayed in tech.

  • How often do you update software on your servers?

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  • When something doesn't work. I.e. when an app update causes incompatibility with a service. I think I have one server that's a few years without an update (distro version may actually be EOL for all I know).

  • Microsoft seemingly just revealed that OpenAI lost $11.5B last quarter

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  • I don't invest in these companies on principle. I ain't going to fund the rise of fascism for stock gains. That won't help me when I'm shot dead or in a camp.

  • Microsoft seemingly just revealed that OpenAI lost $11.5B last quarter

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  • They're OK. It's kinda amazing how much lossy data can be compressed into a 12GB model. They don't really start to get comparable to the large frontier models until 70B+ parameters, and you would need serious hardware to run those.

  • If a Great Depression happened again, would people still stand together like they did during the penny auctions?

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  • Not in the same way. There is still some anti-eviction resistance that goes on today. It's rare and never successful in undoing evictions though. For the most part, I think the US is too individualistic, and the methods of preventing and breaking solidarity too refined for broad action to be successful. I imagine that during a depression, most desperate people would rather join the feds to feed their family by committing violence against others. Even now, ICE received 150k applications in a single week, and people aren't anywhere near as desperate as they'd be in a depression. The government would have to basically collapse, and even then we'd probably end up more like the poor countries ruled by gangs and warlords that dangle the possibility of escaping poverty in exchange for extreme violence.

    Labor solidarity decreased under Hoover, and only started increasing under FDR with a lot of government support. I'm skeptical we'll ever have free and fair elections again, so I don't envision a pro-union government anytime soon.

  • Quantum Attacks on encryption will probably be feasible by 2030

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  • IonQ's timeline doesn't look realistic. Perhaps IBM's is; idk anything about this space. I see it's been 6 years since quantum advantage has been demonstrated, but nothing useful has been done yet. Hard to speculate on timelines when the tech is still in its infancy.

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    Signal president Meredith Whittaker says they had no choice but to use AWS, and that's a problem

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  • I'm skeptical of this claim. Signal doesn't seem like it'd be very compute-heavy, doesn't seem like text and voice would be very network-heavy, and I don't think video is used very much. If us-east-1 going down took out most their services, it doesn't seem like they're leveraging AWSs multi-region features very well anyways. It wouldn't be too hard to just rent or co-locate hardware in multiple non-hyperscalar data-centers around the world, and run a multi-zone, highly available k8s cluster. Would probably be cheaper and more robust too. I don't have experience with multi-zone k8s, but I was the sole person responsible for deploying and maintaining a highly-available single-datacenter k8s cluster on rented hardware, and it wasn't even my primary job (was a full-stack engineer and team-lead), If I could do it, I don't think they'd need to try to hire world's top experts or anything. Coincidentally, the provider was UpCloud, which is a European company, and in 8 years of using them, I don't recall seeing a single node we had become unresponsive for more than 5 minutes, and I'm not even sure those times were on UpCloud's end.

  • What's the most impressive video game mod you've ever come across?

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  • Star Trek New Horizons for Stellaris. Best Star Trek game I've played.

  • Sam Altman Says If Jobs Gets Wiped Out, Maybe They Weren’t Even “Real Work” to Start With

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  • They invest in things they think they will be able to sell later for a higher price. Expected consumption is sometimes part of their calculations. But, they are increasingly not in touch with reality (see blockchain, metaverse, Tesla, etc). Sometimes they knowingly take a loss to gain power over the masses (Twitter, Washington Post). They are also powerful enough to induce consumption (bribe governments for contracts, laws, bailouts, and regulations that ensure their investments will be fruitful). They are powerful enough to heavily influence which politicians will get elected, choosing who they want to bribe. They are powerful enough to force the businesses they are invested in to buy/sell to each other. The largest, most profitable companies, produce nearly nothing, they use their positions of being near-monopolies to extract rent (i.e. enshittification/technofeudalism).

  • Sam Altman Says If Jobs Gets Wiped Out, Maybe They Weren’t Even “Real Work” to Start With

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  • The problem is the capitalist investor class, by and large, determines what work will be done, what kinds of jobs there will be, and who will work those jobs. They are becoming increasingly out of touch with reality as their wealth and power grows and seem to be trying to mold the world into something, somewhere along the lines of what Curtis Yarven advocates for, that most people would consider very dystopian.

    This discussion is also ignoring the fact that currently, 95% of AI projects fail, and studies show that LLM use hurts the productivity of programmers. But yeah, there will almost surely be breakthroughs in the future that will produce more useful AI tech; nobody knows what the timeline for that is though.

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  • Buying them a house seems pretty extreme. A shitty used car and paying for a shitty small studio apartment would've been fine, IMO. Sounds like you are providing luxury rather than just supporting them. Idk if going directly into private practice is advisable or not. People tend to not appreciate things given to them as much as what they feel they've worked for. Not sure what people should do. What you're doing is probably better then just putting your excess resources into financial instruments I suppose. I don't agree with the idea parents should let their kids struggle greatly when they don't have to either.

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  • Meh, I've lived similarly (trailer parks, a garage, slum apartments, etc) and know people that still do live similarly. It can be quite stressful and demoralizing struggling to just try to meet your basic needs. I'm not really trying to pass judgement, I just found it strange the artist included things that could be seen as contradicting the narrative. I haven't met anyone that was happy living like this, and it really takes a toll on people.

    Well, I guess I have met some people in a small commune-like thing living in sheds, an old broken down school-bus, etc. They seemed "ok" with stuff like dumpster-diving for most of their food. They were definitely not the norm though, and were fortunate to have free housing/land that couldn't really be taken away.

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  • Kinda weird it says they're happy, yet don't appear to have the motivation to pick up the trash around their trailer, and seem to be coping with their situation with drugs.

  • Huge internet outage live blog: Amazon, Disney+, Hulu, HBO Max and more experiencing issues

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  • For these large businesses, I imagine they get favorable deals, and all the executives probably know each other and scratch each-other's backs. For smaller businesses, AWS can decrease time-to-market, it's easy to find people who are already familiar with it, and is seen as less risky than going with some smaller provider. Though, I hate the "cloud" with a passion, and whenever I'm given the choice, I avoid it. It's quite a bit cheaper in the long run to avoid cloud providers too. On one long project I worked on, we hadn't had downtime on any of our VPSs longer than a couple minutes over the course of 8 years.

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    Maine Senate candidate Graham Platner says nobody ever told him the large SS-Totenkopf tattoo he's had on his chest for the last 18 years is a Nazi symbol

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  • Hmm, looks like he was prejudice 10 years ago, and perhaps a white supremacist before that. But, he called rural-whites racist more recently (and they definitely are more racist in aggregate), so looks like his POV changed. IDK, that seems fine to me.

  • Are there any decent GPT-detection tools that can be run locally?

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  • Excessive use of em-dashes, emojis, and other characters that aren't on standard keyboards. I think these companies purposely have the models generate this stuff so it is easily detectable (so they avoid training on their own slop).