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2
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191
Joined
1 yr. ago

  • I know its a metaphor, but you can come up with any metaphor you want its still just speculation based on nothing. It's precicily the same argument that conservatives made about gay marriage: this is just the thin end of the wedge, it starts with allowing people to marry people of the same sex and then they'll move on to incest and bestiality.

    Its a crap argument, if you want to oppose something show how this wither makes things worse or how it makes worse things easier to happen in the future. A good example would be the freedom restricting legislation brought in after 9/11. Despite assurances at the time that it would just be used against "terrorists" there was nothing in it to garuntee that, at you could make the argument that the legislation with no further changes could be used to do harm. Lo and behold it was.

    Just pointing at something and saying "slipperly slope" or "boiling the frog" is not an argument against something unless you can show how it makes the next step easier, and I havent seen any actually thought through argument how this does make mandatory identification easier.

  • So exactly the same argument, while referencing an experiment where the frogs did jump out of the boiling water unless they were lobotomised. Very convincing.

  • Parents of current 8-18 year olds are gen X and millenials, who every survey shows are (on average) significantly more tech literate than gen Z and Alpha.

  • Nice to see lots of downvotes for stating factually correct statements while the parent post is literally all conjecture based on "well they would do that wouldnt they?" but is upvoted.

    If they were planning on doing ID verification for this why would they take this half step? It doesnt make it easier for them down the road, if anything it makes it harder as there's the ability to say "but we already have that". If the plan was to mandate face ID why wouldnt they just go straight for that like the UK and Australia have for porn?

  • I wouldnt read too much into the lower scores, they include some absolutely tiny models. The one 70% lower than the top score at 24% correct is a 1B model from 2024. Honestly that it can do any information retrival from a 32k context is impressive.

  • Thats not what the current OS-level age gating is though. Its literally pick what age the account user is on account creation. You could set yourself to be 120 and that would be valid.

  • Generalplan Ost was also designed to do to eastern Europe what the USA did with clearing natives out of the "west".

  • If you are looking to learn a lower level language that c# and arent interested in rust I really recomend Zig. It feels a lot like c but with modern convenieces and with the footguns removed. It is still in development though do breaking changes happen in the stdlib on version changes.

  • I'm not saying its anything other than morally repugnant, obviously, but in the example of a password with billions or trillions of combinations and where you can check the answers given torture pretty obviously is better than guessing.

    That's not a scenario that is ever likely to come up, and wouldn't be justifiable even if it did, but pretending it wouldnt be effective is ridiculous.

  • Torture can be a useful way of extracting information if you have a way to instantly verify it, which actually makes it a good analogy to LLMs. If I want to know the password to your laptop and torture you until you give me the correct password and I log in then that works.

  • While grid interconnections help, there is still a problem of weather not drastically changing at country boundaries. So for example Europe currently looks like this:

    and has looked pretty much the same since the start of the year.

    So very little solar production is going on anywhere, that leaves wind as the only active intermittance source, so places that have a lot of wind production like UK and Denmark use all the wind they produce, and countries that make less power from wind and more from solar have nowhere to import significant amounts from.

    You need either dispatchable power (gas/nuclear) or long term grid scale storage (multiple weeks worth) to make a power grid work. Currently the latter is prohibitavely expensive so the former is needed.

  • Im not misunderstanding at all, but do you really think governments make multi-billion dollar purchaces without having technical experts go over things with a fine tooth comb. Again if only one customer nation, of which there are dozens, found something like this or if it was ever used, it would wipe out the entire export market for US high tech weapons, why would they do that when they have effective soft power ways of achiving the same thing?

  • Do you honestly think that all the countries buying these planes havent inspected them? Even if they were incredibly well disguised the chance of them being discovered would essentially stop the US from selling military hardware abroad again as it would be hard proof that they couldnt be trusted.

    There is no reason to do that when, as others have pointed out, they can just restrict access to parts, updates and mission planning software.

  • But also:

    Google is still up 100% from where it was may last year, even taking that drop into account.

  • LCoE is a partial metric at best, it tells you nothing about how useful the energy is produced. For comparison a nuclear bomb produces an LCoE of about ~30cents/kwh but that doesnt make it a good energy source to power a grid with.

    When you are adding intermittent sources to a most despatchable grid, sure LCoE tells you most of what you need to know, as displaced more expensive sources just throttle down slightly. But once you get into significant fractions of energy (~1/3 or more) just having expected joules created / cost to build is not a particularly useful metric for an intermittent power generator.

  • Gosh, I didnt realise I was supposed to be sleeping from 3pm until 9am in winter. Good to know

  • Search results have been degrading for a lot longer than LLMs have been a thing. Peak usefulness for them was around a decade ago.

  • CO2 doesn't vary much in concentration by how close you are to an emission source unless you are literally sucking air out of a tailpipe. You might get a 10-20% increase in the centre of a city instead of the countryside, hardly enough to make up for being somewhere with so much energy coming in that they frequently have to curtail it (which could then be used for this instead).

    This isnt CCS which cheaply turns CO2 into an inert form of carbon, its an expensive process for turning CO2 into a very useful form.

  • Sure, but you cant store that electricity as electricity. IMO this is most interesting as a energy storage technology, so the comparison isnt what that gasoline would do in an ICE car compared to an EV, its to what it would cost compared to battery storage (or compressed air or whatever other technology) to store a few weeks of output on the order of months. The big advantage I see here is that unlike those other technologies capacity is dirt cheap to build, its just a metal tank. So whenever a renewable plant would curtail its output it can instead redirect to creating gasoline to burn when the renewables arent producing much electricity.